Africa’s agrifood systems sit at the intersection of the continent’s most pressing issues: food security, employment, climate resilience, and industrial development. Meeting these demands increasingly depends on the ability to raise agricultural productivity and strengthen value chains under growing environmental and demographic pressure.
Yet, Africa is equipped with exceptional advantages. The continent holds roughly 65% of the world’s uncultivated arable land and is home to the world’s youngest population, with its agribusiness sector projected to reach US$1 trillion by 2030. Large yield gaps also signal substantial room for productivity gains.
Digital technologies are therefore becoming increasingly visible across the agricultural landscape. However, unlocking sustained productivity growth and food security in Africa would require coordinated interventions to strengthen the system-wide application of existing technologies and enable their widespread, efficient use. In fact, the decisive factor on technology-powered agrifood transformation is whether enabling systems – policies, regulations, capital markets, infrastructure, data governance, and research institutions – are equipped to utilize and scale adoption.
The Annual Trends and Outlook Report 2025 looks abroad, examining how global AgTech ecosystems have evolved and identifying governance models, financing infrastructure, and public-private coordination mechanisms that have enabled sustained growth and systemic impact, distilling lessons for Africa’s agrifood transformation.
Three global lessons for Africa’s agrifood systems transformation
China – Adaptive innovation and farmer-centered diffusion
China’s agricultural productivity rose at double the global rate between 2001 and 2015, helping to lift approximately 400 million people out of poverty.
This success stemmed from integrating adaptable, climate-resilient technologies within dense institutional ecosystems. Sustained public investment in agricultural R&D, demonstration parks, digital platforms, and coordinated extension services drove continuous upgrades in technological and technical efficiency, rather than relying on isolated breakthroughs.
However, the key lesson is not China’s scale of investment, but its adaptive dissemination model. Technologies such as drought-tolerant varieties and digital tools were refined through farmer engagement and localized trials, and dissemination was institutionalized to lower transaction costs and accelerate diffusion.
Europe – Digital twins and system-level efficiency
Europe’s experience with digital twins – a market now forecasted to grow 209% by 2035 – illustrates how advanced digitalization can move farms closer to their technical efficiency frontier and even shift it further up. By simulating crop growth, input use, soil conditions, and climate risks in real time, digital twins optimize decisions across the production cycle.
However, digital tools alone do not shift structural outcomes and only generate sustained gains when supported by adequate new organizational forms of the small-scale farm sector, e.g. digital extension services, including a robust data infrastructure to enable technical efficiency and real-time optimization; compatible standards to support system integration and scalability; clear regulatory frameworks to build investor confidence; and coordinated innovation programs to provide economy-wide strategic direction and public-private alignment.
The lesson here is the importance of strategic sequencing. Investments in digital public infrastructure, geospatial data systems, and regulatory coherence are necessary foundations for high-tech tools such as AI-enabled advisory systems or digital twins to deliver system-wide transformation.
Latin America – Organizational innovation as a scaling engine
Latin America’s agricultural transformation underscores a different but equally powerful lesson: advances in technology are inseparable from organizational innovation.
Strong producer associations, cooperatives, irrigation districts, and regional research funding mechanisms have created local-level capacity for scaling innovation across Latin America. These institutions reduced transaction costs, pooled risk, mobilized finance, and strengthened bargaining power across value chains. Technologies such as precision agriculture, traceability systems, and financial innovations translated into broad-based productivity gains only where land rights, infrastructure, finance, and governance frameworks were already in place as foundational grounds for building a prosperous sector.
The key insight, then, is that the real frontier is institutional. Strengthening producer organizations, harmonizing regional seed regulations, and investing in coordinated R&D systems are foundational to technological transformation and to the prosperity of continental agrifood systems.
The relationship between technology, political economy, and inclusion
Across countries and regions globally, one pattern is consistent – only when technology is embedded in an enabling political and institutional environment does it deliver sustained gains. The adoption and diffusion of technologies depend on a myriad of enabling conditions, including supportive institutions, coherent regulatory frameworks, predictable policy environments, sustained public investment, and well-coordinated public–private partnerships.
Another core constraint in many agrifood systems is the capacity of governments and stakeholders to identify which combinations of research, extension, infrastructure, organizational reform, and regulatory design generate the highest and most inclusive returns. Public policy plays a critical role in shaping the technology frontier by facilitating participatory policy processes that manage country-specific trade-offs and sustain political coalitions over time.
Finally, inclusion is a certain requirement for technological transformation. Gender disparities, youth unemployment, uneven digital access, and geographic marginalization shape who adopts new technologies, accesses services, and captures value along agrifood chains. If these structural constraints are left unaddressed, technological transformation will slow or deepen inequality.
Effective transformation pathways will therefore invest in human capital and digital literacy, adapt technologies to diverse literacy levels, and expand access to finance for women, youth, and small-scale producers.
Translating potential into performance
With sustained investment in research, digital infrastructure, and inclusive producer organizations, emerging technologies make leapfrogging possible for the continent. With the right institutional foundations, Africa has the opportunity to become a global leader in building climate-smart, technology-enabled agrifood systems of the future.
Authors
◆ Christian Henning, Chief Scientist, AKADEMIYA2063; Co-editor, ATOR 2025
◆ Menale Kassie, Head, Integrated Data and Analytics Platform, icipe; Co-editor, ATOR 2025
◆ Racine Ly, Director, Data Intelligence and Governance, AKADEMIYA2063; Co-editor, ATOR 2025






